Prediction market risk management
Most prediction-market accounts die from sizing, not from being ‘wrong once.’ Here’s a practical risk framework—paired with Polifly’s practice tools.
Hard rules that help
Max % of bankroll per idea, max correlated exposure, and a cool-down after big losses.
Never increase size to ‘make it back.’
Practice the rules
Paper trade inside Polifly until you can follow your own rules under boredom and FOMO.
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Educational software only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk of loss.